•   Thursday, 17 Oct, 2024

Bailey hints at faster rate cuts but oil prices could spoil the party

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Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, has suggested that the central bank could move faster with interest rate cuts, provided inflation continues to decline. This hints at a potential shift away from the Bank’s more cautious approach, where rates were expected to be lowered gradually. Bailey’s comments reflect optimism about inflationary pressures easing, particularly after holding the base rate at 5% in recent weeks.

However, the global landscape presents new challenges, with rising oil prices potentially complicating this strategy. Increased oil prices tend to push up inflation by raising the cost of goods and services, which could delay the Bank’s plans for rate cuts. Bailey acknowledged that global factors, including geopolitical uncertainties like the ongoing situation in the Middle East, could derail the Bank’s ability to reduce rates as aggressively as hoped.

The interplay between inflation control and external pressures like energy prices makes it unclear whether faster rate cuts will materialize as planned.

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